Biography:Glenn W. Brier

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Glenn Brier (April 26, 1913 - January 2, 1998) was an American statistician, weather forecaster and academic.

Biography

Brier was born in Woodbridge, Virginia, on April 26, 1913, and died on January 2, 1998.[1] He married Josephine Hartz and had three children: Richard Paul, Katherine and David.[2]

Career

Brier worked for the Office of Meteorological Research of the U.S. Weather Bureau, at the U.S. Department of Commerce, from 1939 up to the 1980s.[3][4]

Legacy

Brier is best known for creating a scoring rule to measure the accuracy of forecasts, which is known as a Brier score.[5][6] Because of his work, the score and Brier himself are widely cited by academics related not only to weather-forecasting, but by researchers in several other fields of forecasting, decision science, and various disciplines.[7] [8]

References

  1. "Glenn W Brier". AncientFaces. https://www.ancientfaces.com/person/glenn-w-brier-birth-1913-death-1998/28672898. Retrieved 2023-03-07. 
  2. "Richard Brier Obituary (1943 - 2022) - Austin, VA - Daily Progress". Legacy.com. https://www.legacy.com/us/obituaries/dailyprogress/name/richard-brier-obituary?id=35464335. Retrieved 2023-03-10. 
  3. "News and Notes". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 40 (8): 429–433. 1959. doi:10.1175/1520-0477-40.8.429. ISSN 0003-0007. Bibcode1959BAMS...40..429.. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26245043. Retrieved 2023-03-08. 
  4. Brier, Glenn W. (1990). "A Historical and Personal Perspective of Model Evaluations in Meteorology". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 71 (3): 349–351. ISSN 0003-0007. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26227528. Retrieved 2023-03-14. 
  5. Brier (1950). "Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability". Monthly Weather Review 78 (1): 1–3. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:vofeit>2.0.co;2. Bibcode1950MWRv...78....1B. http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/mwr/078/mwr-078-01-0001.pdf. 
  6. Brier, Glenn Wilson (1944). "Verification of a forecaster's confidence and the use of probability statements in weather forecasting". Monthly Weather Review. 
  7. Karger, Ezra; Atanasov, Pavel D.; Tetlock, Philip (2022-01-05). "Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies". Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=4001628. Retrieved 2022-01-06. 
  8. Lerch, Sebastian; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L.; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Gneiting, Tilmann (2015-12-31). "Forecaster's Dilemma: Extreme Events and Forecast Evaluation". EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts: 14330. Bibcode2015EGUGA..1714330L.